Lung function decline preceding chronic respiratory failure in spinal muscular atrophy: a national prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Progressive lung function decline, resulting in respiratory failure, is an important complication of spinal muscular atrophy (SMA). The ability to predict the need for mechanical ventilation is important. We assessed longitudinal patterns of lung function prior to chronic respiratory failure in a national cohort of treatment-naïve children and adults with SMA, hypothesizing an accelerated decline prior to chronic respiratory failure. METHODS: We included treatment-naïve SMA patients participating in a prospective national cohort study if they required mechanical ventilation because of chronic respiratory failure and if lung function test results were available from the years prior to initiation of ventilation. We analyzed Forced Vital Capacity (FVC), Forced Expiratory Volume in 1 s (FEV1), Peak Expiratory Flow (PEF) and Maximum Expiratory Pressure (PEmax). We studied the longitudinal course using linear mixed-effects models. We compared patients who electively started mechanical ventilation compared to patients who could not be weaned after acute respiratory failure. RESULTS: We analyzed 385 lung function tests from 38 patients with SMA types 1c-3a. At initiation of ventilation median age was 18.8 years (IQR: 13.2-30.1) and median standardized FVC, FEV1 and PEF were 28.8% (95% CI: 23.5; 34.2), 28.8% (95% CI: 24.0; 33.7) and 30.0% (95% CI: 23.4; 36.7), with an average annual decline of 1.75% (95% CI: 0.86; 2.66), 1.72% (95% CI: 1.04; 2.40) and 1.65% (95% CI: 0.71; 2.59), respectively. Our data did not support the hypothesis of an accelerated decline prior to initiation of mechanical ventilation. Median PEmax was 35.3 cmH2O (95% CI: 29.4; 41.2) at initiation of mechanical ventilation and relatively stable in the years preceding ventilation. Median FVC, FEV1, PEF and PEmax were lower in patients who electively started mechanical ventilation (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Patterns of lung function decline cannot predict impending respiratory failure: SMA is characterized by a gradual decline of lung function. We found no evidence for an accelerated deterioration. In addition, PEmax remains low and stable in the years preceding initiation of ventilation. Patients who electively started mechanical ventilation had more restrictive lung function at initiation of ventilation, compared to patients who could not be weaned after surgery or a respiratory tract infection.

Validation of a modified bedside Pediatric Early Warning System score for detection of clinical deterioration in hospitalized pediatric oncology patients: A prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Hospitalized pediatric oncology patients are at risk of severe clinical deterioration. Yet Pediatric Early Warning System (PEWS) scores have not been prospectively validated in these patients. We aimed to determine the predictive performance of the modified BedsidePEWS score for unplanned pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) admission and cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) in this patient population. METHODS: We performed a prospective cohort study in an 80-bed pediatric oncology hospital in the Netherlands, where care has been nationally centralized. All hospitalized pediatric oncology patients aged 0-18 years were eligible for inclusion. A Cox proportional hazard model was estimated to study the association between BedsidePEWS score and unplanned PICU admissions or CPR. The predictive performance of the model was internally validated by bootstrapping. RESULTS: A total of 1137 patients were included. During the study, 103 patients experienced 127 unplanned PICU admissions and three CPRs. The hazard ratio for unplanned PICU admission or CPR was 1.65 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.59-1.72) for each point increase in the modified BedsidePEWS score. The discriminative ability was moderate (D-index close to 0 and a C-index of 0.83 [95% CI: 0.79-0.90]). Positive and negative predictive values of modified BedsidePEWS score at the widely used cutoff of 8, at which escalation of care is required, were 1.4% and 99.9%, respectively. CONCLUSION: The modified BedsidePEWS score is significantly associated with requirement of PICU transfer or CPR. In pediatric oncology patients, this PEWS score may aid in clinical decision-making for timing of PICU transfer.